2012年3月1日星期四

Crazy December

In 2010 is called the most serious media in Chinese control of real estate a year, with a push by state department 11 of the three months before the price of the beginning of the month after month compared to the rising; The kingdom of April 10 month after month after fall; September sales rebounded after gold out of the five countries keep policy of high pressure continuity, price, restricted to buy, difference interest rate, reduce the first suite mortgage privilege and so on; Final with a historically high luxuriant turned and gives the annual harvest hair ended. The annual growth in the area of investment to breach the 4 billion square meters; mark; The land throughout the year high income broke through 2.7 trillion yuan; Annual sales area has increased broke through the 1 billion square meters mark, drive sales more than 5.2 trillion yuan; Developers in place capital more than 7.2 trillion yuan, also broke through the historical record. Is thriving! In contrast, the government's tight control measures for price growth from 12.8% year-on-year drop to 6.4% by the end of high, achievements. The development of government control of development size of credit in the proportion of funds greatly decreased to 17%,MLB hats about 4-5% down. The government of the tight control of individual housing consumption credit from calendar year, accounting for 22% of total sales dropped to 17.5% and, the proportion of funds in place is down about 10%, and only 12.7%. The government's efforts to greatly reduce the risk of Banks, including improving the leverage ratio lower down standards and down, but does not block the rigidity of consumer demand. History is the most December sales troughs. 2009 years of high growth in December sales also far lower than in other, let alone jin jiuyin 10. But this year's December became crazy year end, after a joy "Christmas", with red lanterns to greet the New Year, and trigger a New Year's new start. For many years the December issue of average sales area is about 60 million square meters for 5-but this year let all disappoints, unexpectedly sold 21808 square meters, through several times, a month accounted for more than 20% of trading volume throughout the year. Thought from November and December data of historical data estimates, to you that to the sales area should be flat or slightly low, have never thought crazy jump, more than many times. Sales area 1 billion square meters rushed to the above, also let the sales amount broke through 5 trillion yuan. The statistics also too not to prime minister a face. Just released the years ago and eat television address a "the door shut in your face," as just out of two meetings beginning was to play a day in SAP. In December, crazy sales can only say that the growing consumer demand on administrative imperative "martial law" is can't stop, can contain only for a moment, but can't contain permanent, owe bill always also. And in January on the half a month, Beijing is sales growth again, seems to be falling more than 30% last year to come back again. Zha according to don't live in? From the annual look, the eastern investment proportion of more than 70% from calendar year fell by 60%, the proportion of the following, and rapid rise in the Midwest, show that the center of gravity in the Midwest or two to keep the three city transfer. But the region is still maintained a high sales, and sales far greater than investment. The central region is still in the investment is greater than the passive state sales. The western sales is slightly bigger than investment, is the reverse. And sales area, the western region for the first time more than the central area, that more backward area of the material consumption growth is strong. In addition to the control policy the most severe Beijing, Shanghai at more than 30% of the sales decline, outside of Tibet is greatly decreased, jiangsu, zhejiang, fujian, tianjin also in YanZheng stuck under, other area is sharply higher. Many areas exceeded or close to 30%, the highest growth in shandong, hainan is more than 50%. Explain the main provinces of severely decrease in the tight control of the provinces on the rise, consumer demand for limit and not broke out, not demand. Price controls is the ultimate goal, quantity control couldn't solve the problem more demand, in the growth and development of the historical stage,NFL Jerseys the adjustment of the market supply and demand contradiction is still the main contradiction. Don't increase supply and use limit consumption to adjust supply and demand, and the result is a crazy December sales soared. Today the wrong estimated the December issue of crazy, tomorrow will be the wrong overall estimate of power consumption, and the beast trapped in the cage up, put in the wild as growth, market their own tame beasts tool, but grew up in wait will break the bondage of cage, even injury and trapped the beast. Meet the increasing material consumption demand is the purpose of the reform, also be to use any administrative measures could not stop the trend. Attention and attached importance to the analysis of the mutations December event may to policy makers are little bit of new inspiration.

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