2012年3月19日星期一

In 2012, China's real estate market will now eight big trends

Have the past 2011 years, the Chinese real estate appear are calm: regulation tightening continued, but the industry is very calm, although clinch a deal the crash, house prices are still strong; Actually the undercurrent, local government executive or even negative easing regulation, surrounded by interest groups of experts flee callsign, development business with sales department smashed in bankruptcy threat; The central top continued to tighten regulation, down home prices have risen to the will of the state. So, the upcoming 2012, China's real estate market will appear which trends? The author view as follows: one, according to real estate's macro control policies will represent: blow, promote supply, guide speculative demand. The central economic work conference to adhere to the real estate regulation policy clearly not shake, promote house prices reasonable regression, speed up the common commodity housing construction, expand the effective supply and promote the healthy development of real estate market; And in a national housing and not long ago urban and rural construction work conference, live JianBu minister he said that next year will support the pent-up demand of residents reasonable, and give priority to the purchase of the first family loan demand. Can see, 2012 years of adjustment and control policies to combat speculation, promote performance supply, guide demand. Will come on stage in 70 large and medium-sized cities such as collecting the house property tax, would be limited to buy at the county level cities of expanding the scope, reduce the first set of housing loans and interest rates down to policy, and will be urged local government executive.NFL Hats Second, the real estate market will have significant change: security room will be promoting the economic growth of domestic demand and an important engine. December 22,, the standing committee of CCCPC political bureau li keqiang, vice premier of the state council in the national housing safeguard work conference stressed that supportability project is the people's livelihood live major engineering and development projects. Through the construction security room, help the difficult people with lower cost better housing, income redistribution is an effective form of, be helpful for narrowing the income gap, and promote social harmony and stability. Meanwhile, security room construction is the major move that macroeconomic regulation, be helpful for the expansion of domestic demand, the support of the urbanization development, promote fast yet steady economic development and the general level of commodity prices steady basic, especially in the current grim international economic situation, to succeed to deal with complex situation, next year to expand domestic demand for must, in accordance with the requirements of the strategic basis points, the solid and effective promote housing guarantee work, play well on the investment and consumption, strong pull function, for the economic growth to provide important power. From the number on look, in 2012 the new security room 7 million sets of start, plus 2010 years and 2011 years of carry forward down the building security room to nearly 20 million sets. Can see, China real estate pattern formed gradually, that is, in order to ensure the room give priority to, as a low commodity house, supplemented by high commodity house. Security room will become 2012 drive economic growth of domestic demand and an important engine. Three, market clinch a deal will now after first or lift the situation, have increased slowly. The tune in clear, keep the developers away completely fantasy, they will expect the government from easing the dreams of the regulation, awake price cut is the only choice. Of course, since the developers of alertness, meet different financial pressure situation different, decision-making team personnel structure factors such as different, developers in the near future is not profits to the sharply. Drop in house prices did not appear enough, consumers looking is inevitable, market clinch a deal will also stuck in recession. But along with the increasing financial pressure developers, and the decision of the team thought unity, make its price breaks the possibility of decision will increase. In this way, just a of the profits to the stimulating, consumers, particularly for the first time homebuyers will enter the market, the market clinch a deal will appear a certain degree of rising. Therefore, the 2012 market clinch a deal will appear first after Yang, or are the situation. Four, land supply will appear differentiation: commercial housing land supply increase, low prices, reducing the supply, high commodity house prices to rise. From the central political bureau meeting held recently, central economic work conference, national housing safeguard work such as meeting the conference spirit we all can see, increase the supply of low commodity house this year will be the important work in commodity house field. Can see, all the land supply is low and medium commodity house significantly increased, and the price is due to the overall thinking and regulation to fall, do not eliminate house prices, the restriction of land price competition land supply large extension will the way. The supply of land and high-end commodity house must have been greatly reduce, due to the high end housing has its particular consumer groups, the price will be malicious strong, so the high-end residential building land supply prices will rise, and that the trend will continue for a long time. Five, the commodity house prices will for the first time following the national. The second half of this year, especially in October after, in China vanke, poly, gemale, large developers leads, the first city in house prices dropped significantly, two three city house prices sluggish, the county city house prices has been slow. In 2012, under the influence of the continuation of regulation, commodity house prices will gradually to the city by a line three lines at the county level city, the city diffusion, is expected to June will appear the situation following. Six, the market will gradually establish rational parties mentality. A few years ago, developers seeking profits, consumers buy blindly, local government land serious financial thinking, it is these irrational mentality lead to China's real estate market crazy, house prices continued soaring. In 2012, the market will gradually establish rational parties mentality, namely developers windfall profits away thinking, consumers establish rational housing consumption, local government land away fiscal thinking. Seven, the real estate industry will appear shuffle aggravate, industrial upgrading will kick off. China real estate industry is a heavily split industry, building the products it, developers take to do, design institutes, project planning, planning company do project packing and make the promotion strategy, construction company do engineering, building materials to supply their materials, agency company do sales. This is an extremely complex process, each additional links all increased housing costs also rose up house prices, at the same time also weakened the competitiveness of the enterprises of room.Can see, in room enterprises increasingly tight money market sales, poor, industry the posture of the continuing malaise, in 2012 China real estate industry consolidation will aggravate, part of little rooms or because of the transformation of enterprises, or from closed down, or for bankruptcy and say goodbye to the real estate industry, also, of course, don't rule out housing development and sales of all swept the creation process property enterprise. At the same time, along with increased consolidation in the industry,nba jerseys the market competition intensifies, industrial upgrading and will be faster. The real estate industry will now living in intelligence, factory building, products such as personalized trends. In 2012, Chinese real estate industry upgrade will kick off. Eight, the flow of talent in the real estate industry up: senior personnel frequent job-hopping, low end talent a career change. The second half of this year, in government regulation of the environment, promote sales by the project, not free, enterprise decision-making, personal development and other factors, all parts of the real estate enterprises in the talent flow speed up signs. In 2012, the real estate company and employee turnover, part of the low end of the talents and even face unemployment hole; And large real estate company for high-end talent demand were increasingly urgent. Therefore, in 2012, the real estate industry will accelerate the flow of talent, the specific performance: senior personnel frequent job-hopping, low end talent a career change.

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Room enterprises when profits end?

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