2012年3月8日星期四

Security room big shrink release what signal?

People of common concern to ensure all over the room construction recently appeared anomaly. According to live JianBu disclosure of data, in 2012 the national security KaiGongLiang room from 2011 in 10 million set, reduced to 7 million sets, a drop of 30%. But from the summary data to see, the security of all over the room KaiGongLiang declines, it is quite amazing. In addition to the guangdong, Shanghai fell by 38%, Beijing dropped 20%, and the second line of the city such as tianjin fell by 54%, wuxi fell 29%. To this, industry analysts think that, in the area of over 2012 new, add in 2011 did not KaiGongLiang, its security room capital inputs than in 2011. In this context,baseball sunglasses many local governments try to high stress levels, but nature's lift. Security room is 2011 start target shrunk dramatically, from capital, land and other aspects of the huge pressure, this is not allow to ignore. On the surface, security room is a government had to launch of the policy. First of all, can hedge crack down on real estate market, lower commodity prices, let more people can afford a house; Second, the growth is still the future macro policy orientation, real estate atrophy, the government hopes that through the security room construction partly offset by its influence to GDP. Therefore, in order to avoid "limit to buy to" bring down the real estate investment, government to guarantee the room of still spare no effort. However, the policy of promote obviously had a lot of resistance. This year's security room construction task though down 2011 sets, but because of the cause of the stack, and "1025" period arrangement, 2012 to 2013 security room construction project will have actual 18 million pieces. Therefore, to 2013, security room pressure will be money climbed to 1.8 trillion to 2 trillion yuan between. This time, the central government will fund allocated part, however, local governments to raise at least 1.1 to 1.4 trillion funds. For local governments to raise the money is not easy, because each district is facing real estate related land transfer income tax, the serious situation of the downturn. On February 14, according to Treasury data released in 2011, according to the national tax revenues completed eight 9 7 2 0. 3, 100 million yuan more than by 2010 and 1.650952 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.6%. But real estate related part of the growth of taxes but obviously decline, among them, the real estate business tax, business tax revenue growth rate dropped 17.5 more than the previous year, respectively, 30%. And the real estate related tax revenue than scale, market under the control of local government revenue declined the land grant fee to the local fiscal revenue much more influence. In fact, since local government to ensure room construction is not positive, especially in the current local government debt has very severe cases, security room construction has become their hot potato. At present city and county level two financial resources shortage, land market encounter cold, owner of the local income space more and more small; Bank credit-tightening, financing loan pressure increasing; Part of the regional government bonds, is also the bucket. But no matter how to carry out capital, it is now, to the provincial government, provincial again to city and county level layers of press of the construction of affordable housing index, level 1 pressure level, which together with the target by including working cycle and the agenda, and so on. Recent official have all over the state council of the DuZhaZu disclosure guarantee room field of supervision, local governments in similar to "go all out" behind the comment, see that it is most places this year guarantee room size start fall sharply. Some people think that, security room construction can restrain high housing prices, this view is untenable. The reason is very simple, because the security of the supply room is not aimed at commodity house users, mainly is the target users, often with no ability to buy the lower classes. Instead, because the construction security room to take up more urban land, lead to land supply shortages, this in fact may actually drive up commodity house construction costs. Objectively speaking, security room construction must consider China's actual, and productivity level and population situation, financial ability to adapt. Eight, the ninety s last century,wholesale sunglasses Latin American countries have had great make welfare society, but because the income gap is too large to ignore the reality, the government promised to common people too much, and finally led to the government supported not go down, the emergence of the financial crisis. Now the European and American countries, also appeared welfare crisis, is also had some cut too large, and to the financial crisis really broke out, already the spilt milk. The China is a vigilant. So, each district security room big shrink release what signal? It at least tell us, security room construction in the short term to complete such a large scale is not realistic. In other words, if the security of the construction of the room to take the great leap forward way, will lack of sustainable operation of space. From the Angle of reality, the future government in order to ensure room of policy, need to pay attention to the sustainable, operation, and formed a more orderly mechanism, the right way is, at all levels of government set up the year after year, the normality of the supply construction stage of system.

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